Description

This analysis provides a forecast of MANA prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-11-02 0.158160 0.182925 0.210263 0.242677 0.280064 0.321838 0.372068
2025-11-09 0.113796 0.145551 0.184211 0.234734 0.299040 0.378195 0.483124
2025-11-16 0.094778 0.129998 0.175887 0.240044 0.327469 0.442539 0.605731
2025-11-23 0.080641 0.117106 0.167328 0.241523 0.348417 0.497014 0.719687
2025-11-30 0.070852 0.108109 0.161945 0.245368 0.371494 0.555311 0.844200
2025-12-07 0.060987 0.097280 0.152028 0.240578 0.380363 0.592895 0.941474
2025-12-14 0.053485 0.088845 0.144326 0.237640 0.390873 0.633026 1.045961
2025-12-21 0.048496 0.083639 0.140824 0.240547 0.410390 0.688548 1.180273
2025-12-28 0.045759 0.081736 0.142298 0.251545 0.444051 0.770004 1.365909
2026-01-04 0.042635 0.078722 0.141449 0.258269 0.470843 0.842266 1.543169
2026-01-11 0.039727 0.075696 0.140152 0.263884 0.496008 0.913861 1.726453
2026-01-18 0.036719 0.072099 0.137369 0.266341 0.515441 0.976789 1.900082
2026-01-25 0.033252 0.067282 0.131914 0.263374 0.524774 1.022859 2.048666
2026-02-01 0.029518 0.061507 0.124009 0.254779 0.522296 1.046365 2.156306
2026-02-08 0.027805 0.059586 0.123390 0.260540 0.548827 1.128748 2.390257
2026-02-15 0.025841 0.056901 0.120912 0.262144 0.566900 1.195831 2.599728
2026-02-22 0.024318 0.054966 0.119746 0.266317 0.590684 1.276793 2.846894
2026-03-01 0.022130 0.051313 0.114532 0.261119 0.593605 1.313962 3.002844
2026-03-08 0.020334 0.048330 0.110443 0.257932 0.600544 1.360310 3.183912
2026-03-15 0.019189 0.046715 0.109216 0.261086 0.622128 1.441008 3.451714
2026-03-22 0.018748 0.046715 0.111656 0.273019 0.665313 1.574701 3.857358
2026-03-29 0.018012 0.045912 0.112135 0.280314 0.698231 1.687895 4.226112
2026-04-05 0.017246 0.044949 0.112126 0.286406 0.728850 1.798641 4.600662